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Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.Valin Steel: The subsidiary plans to invest 2.499 billion yuan to build the technology development and industrial application project of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipe continuous rolling. Valin Steel announced that the subsidiary Valin Henggang plans to invest 2.499 billion yuan to build the technology development and industrial application project of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipe continuous rolling, and build the first advanced continuous rolling pipe production line with the largest diameter in the world. The construction period of the project is 18 months. After completion, Valin Henggang can realize the continuous rolling production of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipes with an outer diameter of φ 323 mm ~ 610 mm and a wall thickness of 7.3 mm ~ 60 mm. The project is funded by bank loans of 1-1.5 billion yuan, shareholders' capital increase of 1 billion yuan and their own funds.British Prime Minister Stamer: Stability in the Middle East is crucial to ensuring domestic security, and promised to strengthen Britain's participation in the Middle East to support long-term stability.

USD/CAD of USD/CAD fell by 1.41, with an intraday decrease of 0.39%.U.S. Treasury Department: Sanctions were imposed on 28 individuals and enterprises related to a global gold smuggling and money laundering network based in Zimbabwe.MicroStrategy once again bought more bitcoins, and its fund-raising attracted much attention. Today, MicroStrategy bought another $2.1 billion in bitcoins, and at the same time, the company sold a combination of stocks and fixed-income securities to fund the rapid increase in purchases, which attracted more and more attention. This is the fifth consecutive Monday that the company announced the purchase of digital assets. Michael Saylor, co-founder and chairman of the company, decided that this small enterprise software manufacturer needs to take a different road to survival. In the past four years, his accumulated bitcoin is currently worth more than $41 billion. In October this year, he announced plans to raise $42 billion in the next three years by selling stocks in the market and issuing convertible bonds, thus accelerating his strategic transformation. The danger now is that the year-long rebound of cryptocurrency may be reversed. In this case, leveraged bets on its value may have serious consequences for its owners.

The central bank increased its holdings of gold and released a positive signal. Shanghai Gold ETF received a net purchase of funds for eight consecutive months. According to the data, as of the end of November, 14 commodity gold ETFs listed and traded in A shares all received a net purchase of funds during the year. From April to November, two ETFs received net capital inflows for 8 months, and Shanghai Gold ETF(518600) was the one with the largest net purchase, with an interval net inflow of 370 million yuan, which attracted considerable attention. (China Securities Network)Deutsche Bahn Freight Company announced that it will lay off 5,000 people. On December 8, local time, Deutsche Bahn Freight Company announced that it will lay off 5,000 people by 2029, of which 1,000 will be laid off first in 2025. Deutsche Bahn's freight business has been losing money for many years, and the company hopes to turn losses into profits before 2026. In October this year, the company decided to implement a restructuring plan. This plan was originally scheduled to lay off 2,300 people from 2025, and the scale of layoffs has expanded. (CCTV Finance)Valin Steel: It plans to sell 100% equity of Valin E-commerce for 480 million yuan. Valin Steel announced that it plans to sell 100% equity of Hunan Valin E-commerce Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary, to the controlling shareholder Hunan Iron and Steel Group Co., Ltd. at a transaction price of 480 million yuan. Valin e-commerce is mainly engaged in commodity trading business. On October 31, 2024, the audited net assets were 442 million yuan, and the estimated value-added rate was 8.60%. This transaction will help the company to focus on its core business, optimize resource allocation and improve asset quality and profitability. After the completion of this transaction, Valin E-commerce will become a new related party of the company, and it is expected that the daily related transactions between the company and Hunan Iron and Steel Group will increase every year.